Commercial HVAC Market Size, Share, Growth, and Industry Analysis, By Type (Central HVAC Systems, DX HVAC Systems), By Application (Retail industry, Office building, Hotel, Restaurant industry, Bank, Data Centre, Others), Regional Insights and Forecast From 2025 To 2035

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COMMERCIAL HVAC MARKET OVERVIEW

The global commercial hvac market, worth USD 79.93 billion in 2025, is forecasted to increase to USD 85.4 billion in 2026 and surpass USD 154.9 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of 6.84% throughout the period.

The market is a dynamic sector focused on maintaining comfortable indoor environments in various commercial spaces. Key trends include a growing emphasis on energy efficiency, sustainability, and smart technologies. Businesses are adopting advanced HVAC solutions with sensors, automation, and data analytics to optimize performance. Energy-efficient systems not only reduce operational costs but also contribute to environmental conservation. Decentralized HVAC systems are gaining popularity for their flexibility in addressing diverse heating and cooling needs. Government regulations and incentives play a significant role in shaping the market, encouraging businesses to invest in eco-friendly and cost-effective HVAC solutions.

KEY FINDINGS

COVID-19 IMPACT

Profound Adverse Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Market

The global COVID-19 pandemic has been unprecedented and staggering, with the market experiencing lower-than-anticipated demand across all regions compared to pre-pandemic levels. The sudden rise in CAGR is attributable to the market growth and demand returning to pre-pandemic levels.

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a notable negative impact on the market. With lockdowns and restrictions, many commercial spaces experienced reduced occupancy or closures, leading to a decreased demand for HVAC installations and maintenance. The economic uncertainty also prompted businesses to cut costs, delaying or cancelling planned HVAC projects. Additionally, the focus on indoor air quality increased, but the financial strain on businesses made it challenging to invest in high-end HVAC solutions. Supply chain disruptions further complicated matters, causing delays in the availability of HVAC components. Despite these challenges, the industry is adapting by emphasizing energy efficiency, air quality solutions, and flexible HVAC systems to meet changing demands.

LATEST TREND

Embracing Sustainability and Smart Technologies for Market Growth

The market is currently witnessing a transformative shift marked by a strong focus on sustainability and the integration of smart technologies. Businesses are increasingly adopting energy-efficient HVAC solutions to not only reduce operational costs but also align with environmental conservation goals. Smart HVAC technologies, leveraging advanced sensors, automation, and data analytics, are gaining prominence for their ability to optimize performance and enhance overall system efficiency. This trend reflects a broader industry commitment to delivering cutting-edge solutions that not only meet the comfort needs of commercial spaces but also address the growing demand for eco-friendly and technologically advanced heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems.

• According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), over 112,000 commercial buildings in the U.S. installed new HVAC systems in 2023, reflecting growing adoption of energy-efficient heating and cooling technologies.

• According to the American Society of Heating, Refrigerating and Air-Conditioning Engineers (ASHRAE), over 36% of newly installed commercial HVAC systems in 2023 featured IoT-enabled controls for real-time monitoring and energy optimization.

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COMMERCIAL HVAC MARKET SEGMENTATION

By Type

Based on the type of market is classified as central HVAC systems, DX HVAC systems.

By Application

Based on application the market is classified as retail industry, office building, hotel, restaurant industry, bank, data centre, and others.

DRIVING FACTORS

Energy Efficiency Revolution to Reshape the Market

The market is witnessing a significant paradigm shift towards energy efficiency. Businesses are prioritizing HVAC systems that not only deliver optimal performance but also minimize energy consumption. This trend is driven by both cost considerations and a growing awareness of the environmental impact of commercial operations. Energy-efficient HVAC solutions not only reduce operational expenses for businesses but also contribute to sustainability goals, aligning with a broader global focus on reducing carbon footprints

Integration of Smart Technologies for Market Growth

Another key trend shaping the commercial HVAC market is the integration of smart technologies. Advanced sensors, automation, and data analytics are being seamlessly incorporated into HVAC systems to enhance efficiency and responsiveness. Smart HVAC solutions enable real-time monitoring, predictive maintenance, and adaptive controls, optimizing performance based on occupancy and external factors. This technological integration not only improves the overall functionality of HVAC systems but also aligns with the demand for intelligent, data-driven solutions in commercial spaces, offering greater control, comfort, and resource optimization.

• According to the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), over 75,000 commercial facilities upgraded HVAC systems in 2023 to meet federal energy efficiency guidelines, reducing operational energy consumption.

• According to the U.S. Census Bureau, over 28,000 new commercial construction projects in 2023 incorporated modern HVAC systems to ensure compliant ventilation, heating, and cooling solutions.

RESTRAINING FACTORS

Economic Uncertainty and Supply Chain Disruptions in the Market Restraining the Growth

The market faces formidable challenges, with economic uncertainty and supply chain disruptions emerging as significant restraining factors. The lingering effects of economic downturns have compelled businesses to reevaluate and postpone HVAC investments, impacting the overall demand for new installations and upgrades. Simultaneously, disruptions in the global supply chain have led to delays in the availability of critical HVAC components, hindering project timelines and increasing operational complexities. These combined challenges pose hurdles for industry players, requiring strategic adaptation to mitigate risks and sustain growth amidst the dynamic landscape of the market.

• According to the U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA), installing a commercial HVAC system can cost over $45,000 per unit, which may limit adoption in small or mid-sized enterprises.

• According to ASHRAE, over 42% of commercial HVAC systems in 2023 required regular maintenance due to complex components, increasing operational costs for building owners.

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COMMERCIAL HVAC MARKET REGIONAL INSIGHTS

North America to Dominate the Market due to Robust Commercial Infrastructure

North America, led by the U.S., stands as a dominant force in the commercial HVAC market share. The region's prominence is attributed to a robust commercial infrastructure, stringent energy efficiency regulations, and a growing emphasis on sustainable practices. The U.S., with its vast commercial spaces and evolving technological landscape, fosters a high demand for advanced HVAC systems. The market's dynamism in North America reflects a continual drive towards innovation and efficiency, making it a key influencer in the global commercial HVAC industry.

KEY INDUSTRY PLAYERS

Financial Players to Contribute Towards Expansion of the Market

Financial players are poised to play a pivotal role in expanding the market. Their contributions are instrumental in funding research and development for innovative HVAC technologies and supporting businesses in adopting energy-efficient systems. Investment from financial institutions facilitates the deployment of advanced solutions, such as smart HVAC systems, which enhance operational efficiency. Additionally, these players contribute to the commercial HVAC market growth by providing capital for large-scale commercial projects, enabling the implementation of state-of-the-art heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems in various sectors. In essence, financial players serve as key enablers, driving the expansion and evolution of the market.

• Viessmann: According to the German Energy Agency, Viessmann supplied over 78,000 commercial HVAC units in 2023, serving commercial facilities across Europe, Asia, and North America.

• Samsung: According to the Korea Energy Agency, Samsung installed over 92,000 commercial HVAC systems in 2023, including energy-efficient and smart HVAC solutions across offices, hospitals, and hotels globally.

List of Top Commercial Hvac Companies

• Viessmann (Germany)
• Samsung (South Korea)
• Ingersoll-Rand (U.S.)
• Daikin Industries (Japan)
• Siemens (Germany)
• Johnson Controls (Ireland)
• Nortek (U.S.)
• Danfos (Denmark)
• AAON (U.S.)
• Toshiba (Japan)
• Hitachi (Japan)
• Haier (China)
• Gree (China)
• Lennox (U.S.)
• Bosch (Germany)
• Mitsubishi (Japan)
• Midea (China)
• Fujitsu (Japan)
• United Technologies (U.S.)
• LG (South Korea)

REPORT COVERAGE

The market is undergoing a transformative journey marked by key trends and influencers. The emphasis on energy efficiency, technological advancements, and sustainability underscores a commitment to both economic prudence and environmental responsibility. As North America, particularly the United States, takes a lead role in shaping the market dynamics, financial players emerge as crucial enablers of expansion, driving innovation and supporting businesses in adopting cutting-edge HVAC solutions. The challenges posed by economic uncertainties and supply chain disruptions are met with resilience and strategic adaptation. The evolving landscape of the commercial HVAC sector reflects a collective effort towards efficiency, intelligence, and a sustainable future.